Washington St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
74  Michael Williams SR 31:38
75  Chandler Teigen JR 31:39
173  Nathan Wadhwani JR 32:04
305  Jake Finney JR 32:28
310  Justin Janke SO 32:28
333  Matthew Watkins FR 32:31
475  Paul Ryan JR 32:45
494  Nathan Tadesse JR 32:49
834  Cameron Dean SO 33:26
884  Reid Muller JR 33:29
National Rank #24 of 315
West Region Rank #8 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 56.8%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 2.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 29.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 17.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Williams Chandler Teigen Nathan Wadhwani Jake Finney Justin Janke Matthew Watkins Paul Ryan Nathan Tadesse Cameron Dean Reid Muller
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 712 33:26 31:36 32:00 32:55 32:27 32:47 32:36
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 583 31:32 31:43 32:08 32:16 32:41 32:33 33:25
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 512 31:38 31:26 32:15 32:04 32:26 32:07 32:46 33:11 33:14 33:39
West Region Championships 11/10 558 31:25 31:32 31:58 33:42 32:18 32:55 32:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 56.8% 20.1 515 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.0 2.3 3.4 3.8 4.5 4.3 4.9 4.1 4.8 3.3 2.2 2.7 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.6
Region Championship 100% 6.9 186 0.1 1.8 4.4 11.4 18.0 25.6 26.5 10.2 1.9 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Williams 75.8% 67.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Chandler Teigen 73.1% 67.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3
Nathan Wadhwani 58.2% 127.3
Jake Finney 56.8% 183.3
Justin Janke 56.8% 185.0
Matthew Watkins 56.8% 192.4
Paul Ryan 56.8% 217.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Williams 17.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.2 3.3 4.1 3.7 3.3 4.8 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.2 3.2 2.9 3.6 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.3 2.5 1.9 1.9
Chandler Teigen 18.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.6 3.2 2.9 3.4 4.2 3.9 3.6 4.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.4 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.8
Nathan Wadhwani 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2
Jake Finney 56.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Justin Janke 56.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Matthew Watkins 59.1
Paul Ryan 72.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.8% 100.0% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.8 3
4 4.4% 98.9% 0.5 0.8 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.4 4
5 11.4% 93.4% 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.7 2.3 2.2 1.2 0.8 10.7 5
6 18.0% 85.8% 0.1 0.3 2.4 2.9 3.9 3.5 2.5 2.6 15.5 6
7 25.6% 68.3% 0.5 1.6 3.2 6.2 6.0 8.1 17.5 7
8 26.5% 24.5% 0.1 1.0 1.9 3.6 20.0 6.5 8
9 10.2% 5.4% 0.2 0.4 9.7 0.6 9
10 1.9% 1.9 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 56.8% 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.3 6.1 7.1 10.9 14.4 13.7 43.2 0.1 56.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Washington 71.7% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 2.0 0.5
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.5
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 13.0